Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.046328 0.053168 0.060283 0.068205 0.076748 0.085654 0.095611
2025-04-20 0.037830 0.048173 0.059588 0.072975 0.088101 0.104529 0.123591
2025-04-27 0.028990 0.040752 0.054461 0.071272 0.091002 0.113126 0.139516
2025-05-04 0.024831 0.037881 0.053768 0.073923 0.098242 0.126127 0.160025
2025-05-11 0.020197 0.033641 0.050767 0.073239 0.101081 0.133680 0.173993
2025-05-18 0.017544 0.031550 0.050095 0.075102 0.106739 0.144377 0.191526
2025-05-25 0.015177 0.029491 0.049174 0.076412 0.111539 0.153935 0.207654
2025-06-01 0.012046 0.025853 0.045748 0.074144 0.111584 0.157515 0.216459
2025-06-08 0.009557 0.022787 0.042786 0.072203 0.111813 0.161143 0.225187
2025-06-15 0.008432 0.021762 0.042628 0.073975 0.116790 0.170656 0.241126
2025-06-22 0.007213 0.020373 0.041784 0.074680 0.120292 0.178275 0.254728
2025-06-29 0.006766 0.020321 0.042945 0.078212 0.127574 0.190734 0.274416
2025-07-06 0.005431 0.018445 0.041268 0.077824 0.129887 0.197291 0.287375
2025-07-13 0.005202 0.018803 0.043239 0.082884 0.139805 0.213899 0.313313
2025-07-20 0.003892 0.016532 0.040655 0.081020 0.140085 0.217939 0.323353
2025-07-27 0.003453 0.016148 0.041221 0.083888 0.146958 0.230642 0.344485
2025-08-03 0.002635 0.014570 0.039523 0.083147 0.148662 0.236482 0.356823
2025-08-10 0.002244 0.014016 0.039611 0.085163 0.154282 0.247542 0.375926
2025-08-17 0.001853 0.013320 0.039354 0.086580 0.159019 0.257424 0.393537
2025-08-24 0.001231 0.011546 0.036810 0.084126 0.157997 0.259453 0.400860
2025-08-31 0.000784 0.010037 0.034581 0.082026 0.157371 0.261936 0.408717
2025-09-07 0.000634 0.009692 0.034745 0.083943 0.162729 0.272620 0.427407
2025-09-14 0.000462 0.009082 0.034261 0.084707 0.166335 0.280898 0.442948